Following Robert Colvile’s study of Oscar-winner prediction theories, I figured Reel Life should put forward a list of our own “will-wins” and “should-wins”.
And, of course, what this will do is to allow your good selves to pour scorn on our personal judgements and ridicule us when we fail to get a single award right.
Also, whenever I say “our” or “us”, I should point out that it should read “my” or “me”. Rebecca, Tim and anyone else involved in this blog is perfectly innocent.
So, here goes…
Will win: Babel
Should win: The Departed
A difficult year, with five excellent films battling it out, and not a worthy-messagey-Oscar-grabber amongst them ("Crash" this means you"). However, Scorsese’s masterclass in tension, black humour and storytelling is likely to lose out to Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu’s brilliant but slightly gimmicky Babel.
Will Win: Forest Whitaker
Should win: Forest Whitaker
No chance of any other winner, even Peter O’Toole’s fine swansong in Venus.
Will win: Helen Mirren
Should win: Judi Dench
Two British acting royals fighting it out, and even though Helen Mirren’s dignified Queen will be victorious, for subtle genius there is nothing that can touch Judi Dench’s monster in Notes on a Scandal.
Best Supporting Actor
Will win: Eddie Murphy
Should win: Mark Wahlberg
I like Eddie Murphy. There, I’ve said it. It’s not a fashionable view, I know, but he has been quite good in a couple of things that aren’t noisy comedies for kids, Dreamgirls being one of them. However, for stealing scenes from Jack Nicholson, Matt Damon, Alec Baldwin and Leonardo DiCaprio, Mark Wahlberg should win.
Best Supporting Actress
Will win: Jennifer Hudson
Should win: Cate Blanchett
The Oscar will go with the voters’ hearts, not brains, and this means Cate Blanchett’s infinitely affecting performance in Notes on a Scandal will lose out.
Will win: Martin Scorsese
Should win: Martin Scorsese
It’ll finally be Marty’s year. It should have been his year in 1990 for Goodfellas, but he’ll get his little gold man at last.